Can Cape Breton become a province? Short answer: Definitely not

A movement towards Cape Breton's "autonomy"—by becoming a province or a territory—has seen a resurgence of interest. It's partially responsible for giving rise to controversial mayoral candidates Archie MacKinnon and Chris Abbass. Using PEI as an analogous economy, many contemplate the potential advantages of operating separately from mainland Nova Scotia.

If you're wondering if this is possible, the short answer is: definitely not.

Disclaimer: As a candidate for District 6, I do not believe the pursuit of territorial status is the right strategy. I think it's certain to fail and is a distraction that keeps us from focusing on the real economic reforms we need. The best form of autonomy is increasing our municipal powers through al la carte amendments to the MGA (Municipal Government Act), a municipal charter, or revisions to the MGA that apply to all municipalities in the province. On my website, you can learn more about my how I propose to use increased provincial operating grants (Equalization) to reduce our taxes, and to create a boom in local construction by creating a 0% tax on new homes built, phased back in over 10-years.

I've long felt that the key problem with such a strategy was that it would (a) take too long if it were possible to achieve in the first place, and (b) that there wouldn't be the depth of professional leadership required to take over all the responsibilities that Cape Breton as a province or territory would require. In fact, we'd probably be better off joining PEI than trying to operate ourselves.

The leading proponent of this interest group is Mark MacNeill. He's done extensive research into the options. However, in this clip from a podcast interview with the Cape Breton Situation Room below, MacNeill talks about how achieving provincial status is almost impossible. Likewise, he says that the federal parliamentary act to become a territory could be vetoed by the province—even if they actually managed to get that far (which is highly unlikely). Once again, that's not going to happen.

MacNeill's resulting strategy—when faced with the realization that achieving either provincial or territorial status is highly unlikely—is to get fellow supporters elected into government roles across the island, and then push for a plebiscite to force the province's hand.

But that reveals the fatal flaw: Candidates like Abbass and MacKinnon who are supportive are in the midst of crash and burn campaigns. Not only will they almost certainly fail in their bids for mayor, but they'll scare away any other community leaders that might otherwise be supportive. Nobody wants to be guilty by association with these campaigns.

[Authorized by Joe Ward]

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Lynn Hussey Follow Me
Over the past number of months it's come to me also this isn't going to happen, ever. Sadly. I WISH it had been possible but hoping for it just won't make it happen.
Joe Ward My Post Follow Me
When it was initially raised as an option, I found the level of activism interesting. I assumed it would be tremendously difficult, but I didn't realize that its chances were about nil until Mark MacNeill described it that way. My biggest concern was leadership. If we're not happy with our current leadership, what would happen when we had to run the entire island as a province instead. We'd quickly crash and burn. We'd be better off asking PEI to adopt us. I know he still believes that a plebiscite would be an effective negotiation tool, but if the plan is to elect supporters and they are starting with Abbass and/or MacKinnon, they clearly will never get close to achieving widespread integration into elected offices—unlike the NSEF who do have many candidates or current elected councillors at least partially supportive of their core issue and solution. It now seems that the greatest likelihood of increased autonomy is either (a) an amended Municipal Government Act (MGA), (b) an al la carte change to the MGA as needed by the CBRM, or (3) a municipal charter. Beyond that, we need to negotiate and invest in structuring our economy to change our direction.

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