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Poll RESULTS for Best Mayor of CBRM 2024

The results are in and they are particularly favourable for two candidates.  

Note that this poll did not ask who you will vote for.  It only asked about the suitability for the role of Mayor.  Our methodology is explained below.  

The Data

  • Nearly 500 entries were processed, providing a meaningful sample size that could represent as many as 1% of voters. The poll was online and anonymous and open for 8 days between Sep 26 to Oct 3, 2024. 

Risks

There are two risks with anonymous online polls:

  1. Bad actors may attempt to manipulate the results by submitting the poll multiple times. They may attempt to do so manually or with automation (bots).  And they may try to conceal their efforts by using multiple devices, locations, or proxy servers. We are aware of these tactics and were prepared for them.  We did a manual (human) review of the data and we used automation with AI to further validate the results. While no method is foolproof, we believe the results are reasonably valid.  Our analysis identified 41 suspicious entries out of 535, with no particular pattern of support for any one candidate.  These entries were removed — but have little effect on the overall results.

  2. Candidates who are more well known and liked and/or more active on social media typically have an advantage with online polls.  While this may skew the results, it is fair play and common with elections.  The only way to mitigate this is for participants to be randomly selected — but this typically means the poll will not be anonymous and that carries its own risks.

Your Vote

Keep in mind that this is just an opinion poll.  If you like, dislike, agree, or disagree with the results, the only true action that makes a difference is your vote during the election — so be sure to vote.


Poll Results

(Q1) Will the candidate be a GOOD Mayor?

  • To tally and chart the results, we assigned points to each response:
    • YES = 2  
    • PROBABLY YES = 1
    • PROBABLY NOT = -1
    • NO = -2
    • DON’T KNOW and NO ANSWER = 0  

  • Total POINTS earned are in the green row in the table below and shown on the bar chart.

  • The numbers with the yellow bars are the quantity of responses received (e.g., the number of YES responses, the number of NO responses, etc).




(Q2) Identify each candidate's main STRENGTH

  • The data shown here is the total number of responses received for each option.  No points are awarded or deducted.  The total number of responses are shown in the data table and the bar chart.
  • For clarity, scoring HIGH on this is GOOD while scoring LOW is NOT GOOD.


(Q3) Identify each candidate's main WEAKNESS

  • The data shown here is the total number of responses received for each option. No points are awarded or deducted.  The total number of responses are shown in the data table and the bar chart.
  • For clarity, scoring LOW on this is GOOD while scoring HIGH is NOT GOOD.

Final Word

Keep in mind that this is just an opinion poll.  If you like, dislike, agree, or disagree with the results, the only true action that makes a difference is your vote during the election — so be sure to vote.

Thoughtful comments and respectful discussion are welcome — all comments will be reviewed before being posted.

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https://capebreton.lokol.me/poll-results-for-best-mayor-of-cbrm-2024
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Joe Ward Follow Me
Hi everyone, my name is Joe Ward, and I'm a mayoral candidate for this CBRM election. You can find out more about me on my website: http://ElectJoeWard.com Or on my Facebook campaign page here: https://www.facebook.com/electjoeward
Raymond Mac Donald Follow Me
This poll certainly doesn't reflect the "word on the street' and that is for a "sleeper" by a landslide.
Mathew Georghiou Follow Me
The poll is not intended to capture VOTES, it captures opinions on SUITABILITY. Based on my observation of the candidates over the past few elections, the opinions in this poll seem objectively accurate. Candidates are rated strong where I would expect them to be rated strong. And they are rated weak where I expect them to be rated weak. The don't knows are also consistent. How this all translates to QUANTITY of VOTES is another matter. A landslide for any of the candidates is highly unlikely. Someone is going to squeak by. A somewhat larger win of a few thousand votes may be possible based on the vote splitting. I also wonder if the "word on the street" predicted John Morgan's wins.
Raymond Mac Donald Follow Me
All is takes to find out what is really going on all around us is take a walk on the Boardwalk and a stroll in The Mall.A person just might be surprised.
Joe Ward Follow Me
The signs (indications) are suggesting that the most familiar faces are going to vastly underperform. It might be like sequels to movies. They get progressively less interesting each time. :P And the lack of physical signs for the folks that have thousands of them to plant should be very concerning to their teams. There's a sense of ABTT out there: Anybody But Those Two
Raymond Mac Donald Follow Me
I'm sensing an "I told you so" after Oct.19.
Joe Ward Follow Me
I'm sure we'll have lots of fun post-mortem discussions after this election. But, let me get comfortable in my new office first, then I'll check in. Ha ha :)
Rankin MacSween Follow Me
And I'm Rankin MacSween. ;) My track record/CV speaks for itself, with over 40 years of work *in community,* overseeing grassroots ideas into small business creation and social enterprise opportunities, to leading large not-for-profit million dollar development projects. I've worked with all levels of government my entire career and championed for our self-reliance and autonomy my whole life. I retired in 2021 but I've put my name in this round because I love this community, full stop. People are fed up. We need a new path forward. Lots to read and consider on https://rankinmacsween.ca Stops tomorrow in Membertou MTCC at 6pm and Ashby Wednesday night at 6pm. I've hosted 13 public, open, in-person and unscripted town hall-style events across all districts of CBRM. Would love a chance to hear your thoughts and dive deep on issues that matter to you in this election. It's been wonderful to connect with people, in person and in their communities, new faces and old friends alike. Please follow or check out more information on our Facebook, Instagram, and Youtube channel: https://www.facebook.com/RankinCBRM https://www.instagram.com/rankincbrm https://www.youtube.com/@rankincbrm
Rose Gibson Follow Me
I have been following Joe Ward ,I grew up in Glace Bay ,Joe you are on the right track to bring new hope to the area,
Joe Ward Follow Me
Thank you very much, Rose. My mom was born and raised for awhile in the Bay. But my grandfather moved to Catalone, to take work at the Fortress. So that become our home community. I'm in Ashby in Sydney now. I'm glad you're seeing the new opportunity we have hear, Rose. Please let your friends and family know to take a look at me if they aren't already familiar with my platform. :)
Raymond Mac Donald Follow Me
Had some interesting chats with some street smart dudes and dudettes yesterday while out and about.Seems some like what a few candidates are saying...... trusting their promises is a major factor under consideration.
Joe Ward Follow Me
That will be a cautionary tale until the end of days. Politicians have trained us to disbelieve them.

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