The Most Important Graph in Cape Breton

"This graph measures my ability to draw a graph since the stroke."

Ok, I'll be the first to admit it. Graphs aren't cool, or sexy. You don't make friends by gathering around the water-cooler Monday morning and excitedly asking "Did you see that graph last night" I know this because I'm super into graphs and bad at making friends. But even though graphs function as visual Ambien to most, they also have the ability to boil down a lot of information into one simple, coma-inducing image. 

So before you create a new tab to watch cat videos or check Frankie's latest forecast, I'll get right into it. Here is the most important graph in Cape Breton.


It makes a better roller-coaster than a sustainable economy!

So right about now you're saying "Yeah, yeah. I've heard this before. Aging population. Young people leaving. This is nothing new." Well, how's about I put it to you this way.



See, this graph isn't The Ghost of Cape Breton Present. It is The Ghost of Cape Breton Yet to Come. Everybody knows people are having less kids these days. The reason I don't have kids? I want a hot tub some day, and a baby doesn't really fit into that life plan. On top of the fact that people are having less kids or none at all, you have less people in Cape Breton at the age to properly spawn new broods of humans. That means less of these.

You know why this baby is so happy? He's pooping. He's pooping right now.

Capitalism is good at a lot of things, like mall food courts, and world changing innovations like the toaster oven. Unfortunately, capitalism requires a constantly growing population of consumers to sustain itself. The population fell by 4,000 people from 2006 to 2011, and is showing no signs of slowing down.

Here's another way of looking at this graph.





Disclaimer: I have recently had to defend myself on The Cape Breton Rant Room for stating that seniors are expensive. This is not so much an opinion as it is a fact, and just because a fact offends you does not make it false. For example, here are some facts that offend me:

  • M. Night Shyamalan is still allowed to make movies.
  • Winter is coming.
  • I live with my parents. 

And listen, I love that I live in a country that sees fit to care for it's seniors, and repay them for their hard work. I'm not advocating to put all of our older people on ice flows. I just blame seniors for our food tasting mostly like cardboard and contributing to a nearly unsustainable macro-economic tax base.


Pictured here are the young, hip "20-somethings" Cape Breton is missing, complete with their totally rad "thumbs-up" attitudes! (Except for Rupert in the back, giving an extremely hesitant 'thumbs-sideways.....?" Dammit Rupert.)


What's worse is this graph is from 2011, which means a good portion of that giant baby-boomer spike has reached 65, the age you officially start receiving Old Age Security benefits, which would be fine if OAS wasn't a ponzi scheme.

I'm also not complaining about educating young people, but there's no denying that young people and older people cost more to the government than they pay in. And again, I reiterate, I don't want to force all the young and old people into sweatshops to pay their way, or put them all in some kind of Hunger Games battle to the death. I'm just saying our system requires a balance to work, and Cape Breton is currently tilted in a bad way.

One last way to look at this graph.



You kind of have to squint to see it, but it's true!

Between the ages of 25 to 40, there are over 1,100 more women than men. I actually don't have much to say regarding this one. Not sure why I included it actually.... Ummm. I guess it's hard to get a date if you're a lady around here? Maybe guys don't have to try as hard, and I can finally stop taking showers? Anyways, food for thought!

I had to write this after Dannie Brown's opinion piece, Welcoming Immigrant Entrepreneurs. Looking at the cold hard facts, I don't see any way the current trajectory of this island is going to change unless we welcome a few thousand young, productive people to Cape Breton, no matter where they're from. 

Feel free to yell at me in the comments.

Posted by
Receive news by email and share your news and events for free on goCapeBreton.com
SHOW ME HOW


7,475 23
https://capebreton.lokol.me/most-important-graph-in-cape-breton
For all you graph loving Cape Bretoners out there!
Gov Political Commentary People Blogs & Opinions

23

Log In or Sign Up to add a comment.
Depth
madeline yakimchuk Follow Me
the problem is... we do have educated, young and productive people coming to Cape Breton via CBU and they are leaving when they graduate or after they give up trying to fit in... we could also get some refugees, even though we don't have much infrastructure to support their special needs, so they will leave too. Bringing people is not step one... maybe waiting for the kind of people who yell at you in the Rant Rooms to die so we become the kind of place people will STAY has to happen first. I really don't see any other way. This is not a very welcoming place. I do have hope though. The kind of people who are not having kids, your age perhaps, are so much more a part of the 21st century, maybe they will SOON (I hope) start to run the place so that we join the 21st century. Another hope, some of them are having kids. In the meantime we have to get creative. I believe it was a member of your cohort who said that you would do better to recruit the doctor's spouse than the doctor, or even better, only bring in single doctors... get them married up, and they will stay! Sexy graphs by the way.
Joe Ward Follow Me
The solution is utilizing the $60 million in combined nurses' overtime pay allocation to hiring 60 new doctors of any gender that are seeking a wife (for a million bucks a pop, if you're tracking the calculus I did there). Once the doctors are calling us, begging us to come in for a preventative checkup (instead of the other way) around, we'll have this really cool strategic advantage of great healthcare - reversing the trend of "if you get sick, you will die here, no really bro, you will die here #morphine". Leading us to our new tagline: Cape Breton: The 2nd most beautiful place to drive by hills, and leaves, and chunks of rock that will not have a large statue on it... in the whole world, and there be doctors here yo. And the side effect is that since doctors keep such extreme schedules, they will create demand for a 24 hour iHop, and I can finally come to grips with the fact that I have an address here, and I'm not going back to Tampa (or Cali)... But I can get a monster breakfast complete with a stack of morning diabetes cakes for $6, and at my table in 5 minutes from ordering. :P
madeline yakimchuk Follow Me
i LOVE your ideas, but only suggest that you change wife to spouse, and maybe include nurse practitioners and other health care professionals so the nurses who are here won't have to work overtime! They just have to be single.
Joe Ward Follow Me
I don't think the nurses who are here have to work overtime now. If you add up all the excess OT pay the top ones are getting, you could do a hell of a lot of hiring of new nurses at market rates. But I do love the idea of nurse practitioners. I think it's almost a no brainer concept. All in on that one. P.S. I used "wife" because we have an excess of females, per the stats, but I suppose that term no longer is applicable even in lesbian couples who may define their individual roles in whichever way is appropriate or desired for them. Not really up to speed on the appropriate terminology. More specifically, with the competition for the undersupply of men here, recruiting single doctors looking for love from a man might not be a very effective strategy. ;)
madeline yakimchuk Follow Me
I have a couple of gay friends who insist that sexual orientation and convenience or opportunity, for the fellas at least according to their experience, may not be as black and white as it may be for some gals, and may be the reason the fellas are not complaining :-) I have heard that a six pack goes a long way if a fella seems unconvinced.
Joe Ward Follow Me
Ha ha. I guess since I'm very happy with my existing lifestyle choices, I had better watch out for unexpected offers to have a few beers. I notice all the tech events always stress the beer aspect - so I better start asking what they really mean by "building relationships" and "networking". Kidding. ;)
James MacKinnon Follow Me
"I don't think the nurses who are here have to work overtime now." All of them, no, but if the majority stopped taking extra shifts there would be a drop in the quality of patient care and a much greater potential for error as the patient to nurse ratio skyrockets. Source/disclaimer: Married to an RN.
Joe Ward Follow Me
So is that a suggestion that we're not hiring appropriately qualified nurses here? If so, I also advocate a fire-faster strategy. Surely the approach should be about getting new people on and continuing their experience (hours worked), and ensuring that our entire system is not fully dependent on a small group of a-team nurses. Not only is it a very poor strategy, it also is problematic in terms of the negative correlation between excessive hours worked and productivity - as well as the potential for error (very serious in the medical profession). http://www.cnbc.com/2015/01/26/working-more-than-50-hours-makes-you-less-productive.html The various reports I hear locally don't seem to indicate that all this overtime is leading to high level results.
Rory Andrews My Post Follow Me
The fact that blows my mind about nurses is that last years CBU nursing grads were all hired BEFORE they graduated. I don't know of any other profession these days getting a 100% hire rate before graduation. It's insane. It sounds like the 1970's or something. So it seems they are in crazy high demand, which makes sense when you look at that graph. I have to say, it makes me a bit jealous though. When I got out of school with a Master's in Education, I had to beg for substitute jobs for $80 a day.... Man that sucked.
James MacKinnon Follow Me
No my point was that there is so much trickle down responsibility due to the doctor shortage that nurses taking a lot of overtime has become 'normal'. It's a really issue as it increases the chance of burnout and puts staff in a very hard position of choosing patient health or their own.
Joe Ward Follow Me
Agree. The ER the other day apparently had one doctor available. All it takes is one high priority emergency coming in, and anyone that isn't bleeding to death may see 4 hours become an all nighter. The problem here is management. They are fully ineffective. Headlines yesterday started with the big news of how you can go to triage before registering now in North Sydney and Glace Bay (err, while they are training staff to handle the reorder). As if that was some big revelation and technological upgrade. If the project manager for that ever goes down to the DMV and takes a number, they might have their mind blown by the possibilities of having your number come up on a wall technological voodoo. ;) What kind of confidence can we have that any of the administrators can actually do their jobs? I don't blame any nurse for taking overtime hours, or at least increasing their earnings when they do. It's on the administrators to solve this problem. The #s that Frank Magazine shared about the cumulative OT racked up by nurses was outrageous. It could be completely recaptured and used for new hires.
[comment deleted] Posted
[comment deleted] Posted
Joe Ward Follow Me
How can they disallow retirement if she meets the eligibility criteria?
[comment deleted] Posted
Joe Ward Follow Me
Parker gives Rory's article a shoutout: http://contrarian.ca/2015/11/09/two-charts-that-drive-home-atlantic-canadas-existential-problem/
Joe Ward Follow Me
Perhaps his best point is that if you bring in a large enough population of immigrants fast enough, they may be less likely to leave the region. I.e. ready made community of culturally similar people.
madeline yakimchuk Follow Me
YES! but it sure would piss off the natives, and I don't mean the Mi'kmaw ... then have been accepting people for centuries.
Joe Ward Follow Me
Those natives are all trapped inside the CB Rant Room psychiatric containment group. They won't be any problem at all. ;) But in fairness, open minded fallacy aside, there are pros and cons. And there are valid reasons to discuss the impact on the community. Richard Lorway was the first person I heard describe a potential solution for temporary housing (school closures), but I haven't heard anyone advise a strategy on how we manage increase demand for our medical services (as one valid concern, IMO).
Richard Lorway Follow Me
You raise a good point re: medical resources. Perhaps we contact an organization that has extensive experience providing medical treatment to refugees - i.e. Medecins Sans Frontieres - and ask if they will play a role. I know that they normally don't operate in first world countries, but perhaps this might be the exception because a significant number of the people they serve will be here. Are there jurisdictional issues? Maybe, but then we're back to the political will thing. If the affected orgs sincerely want to help these folks, they will find a way to break down the barriers, at least for the short term. If they are reluctant to share their "turf," then I guess we'll know where they really stand.
Joe Ward Follow Me
I'm curious how many of the refugees might actually be doctors or have medical training. It would make sense for us to expedite licensing or whatever is required to allow them to practise here. Ideally, if we could ensure a ratio that meets (or hopefully exceeds) our present population to doctor ratio, then (at worst) they would be in the same situation as us for getting access to doctors. In terms of access to medical resources (diagnostic machines, blood clinics, etc), we would still have excess demand (as we do know). However, we might even be able to leverage that for Federal investment in that regard. Based on person family experience recently, we can certainly use another MRI and ultrasound technology and technicians.
Mathew Georghiou Follow Me
MATH and MONEY can easily solve many of these problems. For example, the average doctor here serves 3,000 - 4,000 patients. If a few hundred refugees settled in Cape Breton, it would only be a small blip on the healthcare system, once their initial health needs are handled upon arrival. And, these initial needs could be handled by a team brought in temporarily with the money set aside by the government to help with the refugee crisis. And, if we did have hundreds of refugees of a particular culture/nation here, as Joe points out, some are likely doctors and nurses already and, if not, I'm willing to bet doctors would specifically move here from other parts of the world to support their own people and to live in the country that has accepted them with open arms. If a single doctor can handle thousands of patients, getting 2 or 3 new doctors would actually help alleviate the strains on healthcare for all of us. So, this could indeed be a doctor recruitment strategy for us.
Joe Ward Follow Me
Great points. Agree with all. Only point of note would be that our current doctor/patient ratio shouldn't be considered sufficient. Specifically, they are not adequately handling their patient volume. A family member has a doctor, but has a very hard time actually securing an appointment (or at times getting someone to answer the phones), and has 3-6 month delay on a routine diagnostic (ultrasound). However, that note is largely irrelevant to the focus of this topic. If we're only talking a few hundred refugees to this area, it would not have deal breaking impact on the numbers we already have. And could actually be an improvement - as you've pointed out here. It would certainly be highly beneficial to us as a region if the refugees who settled had doctors among them that were allowed to practise here. That would be a tremendous bonus!
Diana Stewart Follow Me
Unfortunately, there is a lack of work to keep young people on the island. I left for the same reason. If the work was there, I'd go back in a heartbeat.
Peter Sheehan Follow Me
It always amazes me at what products I see and ask "why can't we produce those on Cape Breton?" WE have a forestry and at best we burn the wood or turn it into pulp or maybe a few 2X4's . Then look at what Larchwood does in Margaree. They have 12 people making cutting boards that sell for $200 plus . We lost a great flooring company . If Irving can make modular houses, what can't CB ?? We do have some agriculture but would have more . We can certainly grow root vegetables. We have all these economic development people but I see little sign of them producing anything but awards dinners. We are an island so we have an identity that can easily be marketed . Governments want the private to solve the problems but gives them little support in R&D . We have land sitting idle because we have far too many restrictions and not one municipality shows any sign of facilitating land development . Imagine if we sold 100 lots a year if only to retirees or summer people just how much cash that would add to the economy .
Joe Ward Follow Me
By the looks of the new prices of cauliflower and asparagus, I certainly hope we can grow those! :)

Facebook Comments

View all the LATEST
and HOTTEST posts
View

Share this comment by copying the direct link.

  • Our Sponsors

Using this website is subject to the Terms of Use that contain binding contractual terms.